Indonesia's Geopolitical Calculation as a Middle Power in the Board of Peace Membership
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.38035/gijlss.v4i2.812Keywords:
geopolitical calculation, middle power, Board of Peace, Indonesian foreign policy, independent and activeAbstract
Indonesia’s decision to join the US-led Board of Peace (BoP) on January 22, 2026, raised significant debate regarding its consistency with the nation’s bebas aktif (independent and active) foreign policy principle. However, existing literature has not systematically analyzed Indonesia’s geopolitical calculation as a middle power in this specific case. This study aims to unpack the strategic logic behind Indonesia’s BoP membership. Using a qualitative single case study design, it integrates Middle Power Theory and Foreign Policy Analysis through deductive content analysis of official documents, bilateral agreements, and think-tank reports. Three main findings emerge. First, a strong temporal correlation exists between BoP membership and the finalization of the Indonesia-US Agreement on Reciprocal Trade (ART) signed on the same day, revealing a diplomatic-economic nexus. Second, Indonesia’s choice to contribute military capabilities rather than financial fees reflects niche diplomacy logic. Third, BoP membership signals a shift from traditional non-alignment toward pragmatic multi-alignment, with the independent-active principle retained as a rhetorical frame. This study contributes to middle power literature by demonstrating that emerging middle powers prioritize strategic pragmatism over normative commitments.
References
Allison, G., & Halperin, M. (1972). Bureaucratic politics: A paradigm and some policy implications. World Politics, 24(S1), 40–79. https://doi.org/10.2307/2010559
Alvian, R. A., Putri, G. C., & Ardhani, I. (2018). Haluan baru politik luar negeri Indonesia: Perbandingan diplomasi “middle power” Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono dan Joko Widodo. Jurnal Hubungan Internasional, 6(2), 151–168. https://doi.org/10.18196/hi.62112
Anwar, D. F. (2021). Indonesia’s Contributions to Peaceful Change in International Affairs. In T. V Paul (Ed.), The Oxford Handbook of Peaceful Change in International Relations. Oxford Academic. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190097356.013.34
CNBC Indonesia. (2026, March 31). Board of Peace dan strategi diplomasi Indonesia. https://www.cnbcindonesia.com/opini/20260315050313-14-719091/board-of-peace-dan-strategi-diplomasi-indonesia
Cooper, A. F. (1997). Niche diplomacy: Middle powers after the Cold War. Palgrave Macmillan. https://archive.org/details/nichediplomacymi0000andr
Cooper, A. F., Higgott, R. A., & Nossal, K. R. (1993). Relocating middle powers: Australia and Canada in a changing world order. UBC Press. https://archive.org/details/relocatingmiddle0000coop
Creswell, J. W., & Poth, C. N. (2018). Qualitative inquiry and research design: Choosing among five approaches (4th ed.). SAGE Publications. https://pubhtml5.com/enuk/cykh/Creswell_and_Poth,_2018,_Qualitative_Inquiry_4th/
Hatta, M. (1948). Mendayung di antara dua karang [Rowing between two reefs].
Holbraad, C. (1984). Middle powers in international politics. Macmillan. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-06865-4
Holsti, K. J. (1970). National role conceptions in the study of foreign policy. International Studies Quarterly, 14(3), 233–309. https://doi.org/10.2307/3013584
Hudson, V. M. (2005). Foreign policy analysis: Actor-specific theory and the ground of international relations. Foreign Policy Analysis, 1(1), 1–30. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1743-8594.2005.00001.x
Human Rights Watch. (2026). Indonesia needs eyes wide open on Trump’s Board of Peace. https://www.hrw.org/news/2026/03/26/indonesia-needs-eyes-wide-open-on-trumps-board-of-peace
Iannone, A. (2026). Indonesia’s 2026 UN Human Rights Council presidency: A bebas-aktif status bet with domestic reputational costs. In Global South Forum. https://www.globalsouthforum.org/article/indonesias-2026-un-human-rights-council-presidency
IIS UGM. (2026). IIS UGM call for review of Indonesia’s participation in the Board of Peace. Universitas Gadjah Mada. https://ugm.ac.id/en/news/iis-ugm-call-for-review-of-indonesias-participation-in-the-board-of-peace/
Indonesia Business Post. (2026, March 30). Prabowo reaffirms rejection of US$1B “premium” fee for Trump’s Board of Peace. Idonesia Business Post. https://indonesiabusinesspost.com/6359/geopolitics/
Jordaan, E. (2010). The concept of a middle power in international relations: Distinguishing between emerging and traditional middle powers. Politikon, 30(1), 165–181. https://doi.org/10.1080/0258934032000147282
Kaplan, R. D. (2012). The revenge of geography: What the map tells us about coming conflicts and the battle against fate. Random House. https://archive.org/details/TheRevengeOfGeographyWhatTheMapTellsUsAboutComingConflictsAndTheBattleAgainstFate
Karim, M. F. (2021). Role legitimation in foreign policy: The case of Indonesia as an emerging power under Yudhoyono’s presidency (2004–2014). Foreign Policy Analysis, 17(3), orab010. https://doi.org/10.1093/fpa/orab010
Lowy Institute. (2026, March 26). Indonesia’s multi-alignment dilemma under Prabowo. https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/indonesia-s-multi-alignment-dilemma-under-prabowo
Majelis Ulama Indonesia. (2026, March 26). Indonesia bergabung Board of Peace: MUI minta pemerintah tegaskan sikap untuk kemerdekaan penuh Palestina. https://mui.or.id/baca/berita/indonesia-bergabung-board-of-peace
Modern Diplomacy. (2026, March 27). Indonesia at the Board of Peace: Realistic choice or subtle coercion? Modern Diplomacy. https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2026/02/20/indonesia-at-the-board-of-peace-realistic-choice-or-subtle-coercion/
Rezasyah, T. (2026). Responding to the US–Israel vs Iran war: Indonesia’s Board of Peace dilemma intensifies. In Eurasia Review. https://www.eurasiareview.com/30032026-responding-to-the-us-israel-vs-iran-war-indonesias-board-of-peace-dilemma-intensifies-analysis/
Sekretariat Negara RI. (2026a, March 27). Indonesia dan AS capai Agreement on Reciprocal Trade. https://www.setneg.go.id/baca/index/indonesia_dan_as_capai_agreement_on_reciprocal_trade_tarif_nol_persen_berlaku_untuk_1819_produk_indonesia
Sekretariat Negara RI. (2026b, March 30). FAQ perjanjian perdagangan resiprokal Indonesia–Amerika Serikat. https://www.setneg.go.id/baca/index/frequently_asked_questions_perjanjian_perdagangan_resiprokal_indonesia_amerika_serikat
Sekretariat Negara RI. (2026c, March 30). Presiden Prabowo Subianto tandatangani piagam Board of Peace. https://setneg.go.id/baca/index/presiden_prabowo_subianto_tandatangani_piagam_board_of_peace_tegaskan_peran_aktif_indonesia_jaga_implementasi_solusi_dua_negara
Sudjatmiko, T., Yayusman, M. S., Budianto, F., & Syafarani, T. R. (2022). Peran Indonesia sebagai kekuatan menengah dalam G20 di tengah disrupsi geopolitik konflik Rusia-Ukraina. Jurnal Penelitian Politik, 19(2), 93–109. https://doi.org/10.14203/jpp.v19i2.1224
Teo, S. (2022). Middle power identities of Australia and South Korea: Comparing the Kevin Rudd/Julia Gillard and Lee Myung-Bak administrations. Pacific Review, 31(2), 221–239. https://doi.org/10.1080/09512748.2017.1371210
The Columbian. (2026). Indonesia’s president reaches a trade deal with U.S. while in Washington for Trump’s Board of Peace. https://www.columbian.com/news/2026/feb/20/indonesias-president-reaches-a-trade-deal-with-u-s-while-in-washington-for-trumps-board-of-peace/
The Conversation Indonesia. (2026). Indonesia gabung “Board of Peace”: Strategi tepat atau hilang arah? https://theconversation.com/indonesia-gabung-board-of-peace-strategi-tepat-atau-hilang-arah-274952
Undang-Undang Republik Indonesia Nomor 37 Tahun 1999 Tentang Hubungan Luar Negeri (1999).
United States Trade Representative. (2026). Agreement between the United States of America and the Republic of Indonesia on reciprocal trade. Office of the United States Trade Representative. USTR Agreement PDF
Yin, R. K. (2018). Case study research and applications: Design and methods (6th ed.). SAGE Publications. https://opac.atmaluhur.ac.id/uploaded_files/temporary/DigitalCollection/YTE3NDlmYTY0ZjE2MDA5ODE4NGI1Y2FhMjdkMjRmYWNkMDA2MTVhOQ==.pdf
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Muhammad Syahdan Aprillianza, Dedy Pribadi Uang

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Copyright :
Authors who publish their manuscripts in this journal agree to the following conditions:
- Copyright in each article belongs to the author.
- The author acknowledges that the Greenation International Journal of Law and Social Sciences (GIJLSS) has the right to be the first to publish under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license (Attribution 4.0 International CC BY 4.0).
- Authors can submit articles separately, arrange the non-exclusive distribution of manuscripts that have been published in this journal to other versions (for example, sent to the author's institutional repository, publication in a book, etc.), by acknowledging that the manuscript has been published for the first time at GIJLSS.























